Positive Rental Growth Predicted
A new report from Lambert Smith Hampton confirms that investment activity
levels are down on last year and average yields on transactions have
risen. The slowdown in the property investment markets started in the second
quarter and has been exacerbated by the recent events in the banking world.
LSHs UK Investment Transactions (UKIT) Activity Survey
is published quarterly in association with Property Data and is unique in
looking at actual deals transacted. It therefore provides an accurate snapshot
of the direction of the market. The latest report, UKIT Q3, analyses £28.1bn
of transactions that have been reported in the six-month period between
April and September 2007 inclusive.
The report reveals that institutions, which accounted for more than one
quarter of all purchases during 2006, have almost halved their buying activity
so far this year, with little sign that the position will change in the
final quarter of the year.
According to LSH, this change in the market has encouraged entrepreneurial
property companies back into the market, particularly where they are well
funded and have existing debt facilities. |
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Ed
Jones, head of investment at LSH in Birmingham, said: The market has
seen the institutions press the pause button since the summer. The prospects
for rental growth still look to be good and the prices that investors need
to pay have slipped. This is great news for investors who are well-funded
and still able to access finance at competitive rates.
The decision by the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in thee US has
a positive impact on global interest rates with £ and € SWAP
rates falling from their mid-year highs. This has created a position whereby
a number of opportunities have now come back onto the radar. There is the
added bonus that prices have fallen.
Overseas investors have also responded positively, committing a net £6bn
to the market over the first nine months of the year, whilst UK debt-backed
investors have kept buying at an even pace.
We expect activity levels to remain slow in the final quarter of 2007
as some investors continue to take stock of the effects of the credit
crunch. This will mean that annual transaction volumes will have reduced
for the first time in seven years, said Ed Jones. |