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Land Registry and Nationwide figures
Commenting on the latest land Registry and Nationwide figures
both published today RICS chief economist Simon Rubinsohn
said: Data released this morning by the Land Registry
confirms that house prices did rise sharply in January.
This firm picture had been signalled in previous releases
by both mortgage lenders and the RICS Housing Market Survey.
However, the Nationwide Building Society numbers for February,
also published this morning, cast some doubt on whether
this trend can be sustained. While bad weather may have
played a role in knocking both activity and prices this
month, RICS believes that there shouldnt be too much
emphasis placed on monthly volatility in the numbers. The
underlying trend in the Nationwide data is still pointing
toward an annualised increase in prices of more than 6%.
That this is down from nearer 15% last autumn is something
to be welcomed given the difficulty many first time buyers
are already having in getting a foot on the property ladder.
Interestingly, the Land Registry data continues to highlight
significant regional variations in price performance with
London very much at the top end. Indeed following the rise
of 3.9% in January prices in the capital are now just 5%
away from the 2007 peak. By way of contrast, the North East
was the English region seeing the biggest fall in prices
in January; in this area prices are 15% away from the high
water mark. RICS expect prices in general to continue to
edge upwards over the coming months although the picture
is likely to stabilise in the latter part of the year as
mortgage costs begin to increase.
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